5.02% → 8.42%
The away win raises Augsburg's European-place probability by 3.40 percentage points.
Augsburg's 4-1 comeback drives a three-place model jump
The final score is locked into the live Bundesliga table. Augsburg scored all four goals after half time and finished a Bundesliga matchday top for the first time in their 16 top-flight seasons. Matched 100,000-path forecasts isolate the season impact.
FINAL SCOREFrankfurt 1-4 Augsburg
AUGSBURG POSITION13th → 10th
AUGSBURG POINTS39.4 → 41.5
AUGSBURG RELEGATION23.77% → 15.52%
13th → 10th
A 2.1-point gain lifts Augsburg three places in the mean projected table.
45.7 → 43.9
The home defeat removes 1.8 mean projected points.
22.00% → 15.29%
Frankfurt's top-six probability falls by 6.71 percentage points.
MATCHED-PATH METHOD
Same seed, one completed result
FREE ACCOUNT · NO CARD REQUIRED
Follow your club, not a generic feed
Choose your Premier League club and save it to a personalised dashboard with its projected finish, projected points and major season probabilities. The live forecast remains free to explore.
- Saved club dashboard
- Live probability view
- Member referral rewards