VERIFIED RESULTS · CHAMPIONSHIP

Bolton's Molineux win leads an eight-result Championship swing

Eight verified 13 October finals now feed the recorded table. A matched 100,000-path rerun isolates their combined effect on promotion, play-off and relegation probabilities.

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WOLVES 1-3 BOLTONVerified final

BOLTON RELEGATION21.76% → 14.44%

WOLVES PLAY-OFFS42.24% → 35.68%

VERIFIED FINALS8

BOLTON SURVIVAL SWING

−7.32 percentage points

Bolton add 2.1 projected points after winning 3-1 at Molineux.

WOLVES PLAY-OFFS

42.24% → 35.68%

Wolves lose 1.7 projected points and fall from eighth to tenth.

MILLWALL AUTOMATIC

28.80% → 20.98%

The home defeat to Swansea produces the largest automatic-promotion move of the batch.

SWANSEA AUTOMATIC

14.21% → 20.08%

Swansea remain fifth in predicted final standings but add 2.1 projected points.

ALL EIGHT FINALS

Every completed score now updates the table

FULL TIMEBristol City 0-1 Blackburn Rovers13 October 2026 · verified result

FULL TIMEBurnley 2-2 Charlton Athletic13 October 2026 · verified result

FULL TIMECardiff City 5-1 Watford13 October 2026 · verified result

FULL TIMEMillwall 0-1 Swansea City13 October 2026 · verified result

FULL TIMEWolverhampton Wanderers 1-3 Bolton Wanderers13 October 2026 · verified result

FULL TIMEWrexham 1-2 West Bromwich Albion13 October 2026 · verified result

FULL TIMEBirmingham City 4-0 Preston North End13 October 2026 · verified result

FULL TIMEStoke City 2-3 Middlesbrough13 October 2026 · verified result

MATCHED-PATH METHOD

Same seed, only the completed results change

ASSUMPTION 1The before run leaves all eight 13 October fixtures unresolved; the after run locks the eight verified final scores.HORIZON GLOBAL 3.0 · seed 260827

ASSUMPTION 2Both runs use seed 260827 and 100,000 matched paths. Every other recorded result, team rating and points adjustment is unchanged.HORIZON GLOBAL 3.0 · seed 260827

ASSUMPTION 3Current standings use completed results; predicted ranks and outcome probabilities remain model estimates rather than guarantees.HORIZON GLOBAL 3.0 · seed 260827

EVIDENCE

Official club reports and verified match coverage

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