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VERIFIED RESULT · LEAGUE ONE

AFC Wimbledon win the derby and improve their survival outlook

Jayden Stockley and Myles Hippolyte scored in a 2-0 away win at Bromley. The result is locked into the live League One table, and matched 100,000-path forecasts isolate its effect on the relegation race.

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FINAL SCOREBromley 0-2 AFC Wimbledon
WIMBLEDON POINTS46.7 → 48.8
WIMBLEDON RELEGATION74.99% → 66.34%
BROMLEY RELEGATION25.33% → 33.08%
WIMBLEDON RELEGATION

74.99% → 66.34%

The away win cuts AFC Wimbledon's relegation probability by 8.65 percentage points.

WIMBLEDON POINTS

46.7 → 48.8

Wimbledon gain 2.1 mean projected points while remaining 24th in the mean table.

BROMLEY RELEGATION

25.33% → 33.08%

The home defeat raises Bromley's relegation probability by 7.75 percentage points.

BROMLEY POSITION

18th → 20th

Bromley lose 1.9 mean projected points and fall two places in the forecast table.

MATCHED-PATH METHOD

Same seed, one completed result

ASSUMPTION 1The before run leaves Bromley v AFC Wimbledon unresolved; the after run locks the verified 0-2 scoreline.100,000 paths · seed 260907
ASSUMPTION 2Both forecasts use seed 260907 and the same 100,000 paths, with every other League One fixture and rating unchanged.100,000 paths · seed 260907
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