74.99% → 66.34%
The away win cuts AFC Wimbledon’s relegation probability by 8.65 percentage points.
AFC Wimbledon win the derby and improve their survival outlook
Jayden Stockley and Myles Hippolyte scored in a 2-0 away win at Bromley. The result is locked into the live League One table, and matched 100,000-path forecasts isolate its effect on the relegation race.
FINAL SCOREBromley 0-2 AFC Wimbledon
WIMBLEDON POINTS46.7 → 48.8
WIMBLEDON RELEGATION74.99% → 66.34%
BROMLEY RELEGATION25.33% → 33.08%
46.7 → 48.8
Wimbledon gain 2.1 mean projected points while remaining 24th in the mean table.
25.33% → 33.08%
The home defeat raises Bromley’s relegation probability by 7.75 percentage points.
18th → 20th
Bromley lose 1.9 mean projected points and fall two places in the forecast table.
MATCHED-PATH METHOD
Same seed, one completed result
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