FINAL SCOREBetis 5-2 Osasuna
BETIS TOP FOUR66.01% → 69.74%
BETIS POINTS67.0 → 67.8
BETIS TOP SEVEN91.12% → 93.09%
BETIS TOP-FOUR SWING+3.73 percentage points
Betis remain fourth in the predicted final standings.
BETIS TITLE0.90% → 1.10%
The win adds 0.8 projected points.
OSASUNA FORECAST27.50% → 30.23%
Osasuna remain 18th in the predicted final standings.
RECORDED TABLEBetis 3rd · Osasuna 15th
Both clubs have completed eight verified league matches.
MATCHED-PATH METHOD
Verified final, isolated result effect
ASSUMPTION 1The before run leaves only Real Betis versus CA Osasuna unresolved; the after run locks the verified 5-2 final score.HORIZON GLOBAL 3.0 · seed 260827ASSUMPTION 2Both forecasts use seed 260827 and 100,000 matched paths. Every other recorded result and team-strength input is unchanged.HORIZON GLOBAL 3.0 · seed 260827ASSUMPTION 3The recorded table uses completed results; predicted rank and projected points remain model estimates, not guarantees.HORIZON GLOBAL 3.0 · seed 260827ASSUMPTION 4Bookmaker prices do not alter this sporting forecast, and no stale each-way terms are used.HORIZON GLOBAL 3.0 · seed 260827 EVIDENCE
Competition and match-report sources
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