Fulham vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Fulham win the strongest outcome at 41.2%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
FulhamFUL47 projected points
Brighton & Hove AlbionBHA55.2 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Fulham vs Brighton scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.5%
8.8%
7.9%
6.5%
6.4%
Fulham 1.66 · Brighton 1.48
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
34.9% to 46.2%
The Fulham home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
15 vs 7
Current mean projected league positions for Fulham and Brighton.
Matchweek 17
Saturday, 26 December 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.07 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.028 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.029 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.138 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Fulham vs Brighton prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Fulham vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Fulham win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 41.2%. The draw is 25.3%.
What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
The most likely exact score is Fulham 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion, with an estimated probability of 11.5%.
Will both teams score in Fulham vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
The model gives both teams to score a 63.3% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 60.6% probability.
When is Fulham vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Fulham vs Brighton & Hove Albion is scheduled for Saturday, 26 December 2026, time provisional.