Brighton & Hove Albion vs Fulham prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Brighton & Hove Albion win the strongest outcome at 51.5%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Brighton & Hove AlbionBHA55.2 projected points
FulhamFUL47 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Brighton vs Fulham scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.1%
9.7%
7.8%
7.5%
6.4%
Brighton 1.88 · Fulham 1.24
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
44.8% to 58.4%
The Brighton home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
7 vs 15
Current mean projected league positions for Brighton and Fulham.
Matchweek 28
Wednesday, 3 March 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.07 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.028 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.029 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.138 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Brighton vs Fulham prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Brighton & Hove Albion vs Fulham?
Brighton & Hove Albion win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 51.5%. The draw is 24.2%.
What is the predicted score for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Fulham?
The most likely exact score is Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 Fulham, with an estimated probability of 11.1%.
Will both teams score in Brighton & Hove Albion vs Fulham?
The model gives both teams to score a 61.0% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 60.2% probability.
When is Brighton & Hove Albion vs Fulham?
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Fulham is scheduled for Wednesday, 3 March 2027, time provisional.