Brighton & Hove Albion vs Fulham prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Brighton & Hove Albion win the strongest outcome at 53.1%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Brighton & Hove AlbionBHA60.6 projected points
FulhamFUL42.6 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Brighton vs Fulham scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.7%
9.8%
8.9%
8.9%
6.2%
Brighton 1.82 · Fulham 1.11
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
48.0% to 58.1%
The Brighton home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
3 vs 17
Current mean projected league positions for Brighton and Fulham.
Matchweek 28
Wednesday, 3 March 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.07 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.028 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.056 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.244 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Brighton vs Fulham prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Brighton & Hove Albion vs Fulham?
Brighton & Hove Albion win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 53.1%. The draw is 24.7%.
What is the predicted score for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Fulham?
The most likely exact score is Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 Fulham, with an estimated probability of 11.7%.
Will both teams score in Brighton & Hove Albion vs Fulham?
The model gives both teams to score a 57.0% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 56.0% probability.
When is Brighton & Hove Albion vs Fulham?
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Fulham is scheduled for Wednesday, 3 March 2027, time provisional.
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