Probabilities, not picks
Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.
8 verified-schedule fixtures are listed across 1 competitions on Tuesday, 13 October 2026. The highest single 1X2 probability is Birmingham City win at 56.0%; it is an estimate, not a guarantee.
Probabilities are generated independently of bookmaker prices. Fair odds are the decimal inverse of the model probability and do not include a safety margin. 8 listed kick-off times are provisional.
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:45time provisional | Birmingham City vs Preston North EndEFL Championship | 56.0% | 24.1% | 20.0% | 1-012.7% | 1.69-0.90 | Home56.0% | 1.79 · 4.15 · 5.01 |
| 19:45time provisional | Bristol City vs Blackburn RoversEFL Championship | 44.2% | 26.9% | 29.0% | 1-112.7% | 1.38-1.07 | Home44.2% | 2.26 · 3.72 · 3.45 |
| 19:45time provisional | Burnley vs Charlton AthleticEFL Championship | 51.6% | 25.3% | 23.2% | 1-012.4% | 1.57-0.96 | Home51.6% | 1.94 · 3.96 · 4.32 |
| 19:45time provisional | Cardiff City vs WatfordEFL Championship | 53.7% | 24.3% | 22.0% | 1-011.9% | 1.67-0.98 | Home53.7% | 1.86 · 4.12 · 4.54 |
| 19:45time provisional | Millwall vs Swansea CityEFL Championship | 51.6% | 25.4% | 23.0% | 1-012.7% | 1.56-0.95 | Home51.6% | 1.94 · 3.93 · 4.35 |
| 19:45time provisional | Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Bolton WanderersEFL Championship | 50.0% | 25.3% | 24.7% | 1-112.0% | 1.56-1.02 | Home50.0% | 2.00 · 3.95 · 4.05 |
| 19:45time provisional | Wrexham vs West Bromwich AlbionEFL Championship | 49.4% | 25.5% | 25.2% | 1-112.1% | 1.54-1.02 | Home49.4% | 2.03 · 3.92 · 3.98 |
| 20:00time provisional | Stoke City vs MiddlesbroughEFL Championship | 24.6% | 25.5% | 49.9% | 1-112.1% | 1.01-1.55 | Away49.9% | 4.06 · 3.93 · 2.00 |
Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.
Fixture status, model version and update date are published beside the board.
Bookmaker prices never change the core sporting forecast.
Model-draw and format-only UEFA pairings are excluded from daily listings.