Oxford 1-0 Stockport: the promotion race tightens

Oxford climb two predicted places

Oxford move from sixth to fourth in the predicted League One table. Their projected total rises from 73.1 to 74.8 points and automatic-promotion probability from 16.41% to 21.15%.

Stockport remain first predicted, but their automatic-promotion probability falls by 8.02 percentage points, from 54.33% to 46.31%. Their projected total moves from 81.0 to 79.7.

Official EFL report ↗ · Independent scores ↗

Barnet strengthen their League Two lead

Barnet's 3-1 win over York lifts their projected points from 84.8 to 86.2. Their automatic-promotion probability rises from 80.99% to 86.14%, while their title probability reaches 49.53%.

York remain fourth predicted, but their automatic-promotion probability falls from 43.56% to 37.55%.

Official EFL report ↗ · Barnet match report ↗

Como and Lazio move in Serie A's top-four race

Como's 3-1 win at Torino raises their modeled top-four probability from 51.89% to 56.46% and projected points from 66.7 to 68.0.

Lazio's 6-2 win at Sassuolo moves them from fifth to fourth predicted. Their top-four probability rises from 39.89% to 44.86% and projected points from 64.8 to 66.2.

Official Torino–Como report ↗ · Independent Serie A results ↗

Verification method

• Every final score was accepted only after two independent domains corroborated the result, with an official competition or club source included.
• Before and after runs use identical deterministic seeds, 100,000 paths, ratings, schedules and model settings; only the completed scores change.
• Current standings from completed results remain separate from predicted final standings.

HORIZON GLOBAL 3.0 · verified 28 October 2026. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.