PSG 2-0 Lyon: title probability reaches 70.68%

PSG strengthen their title position

PSG move top of the current Ligue 1 table on 18 points. The model raises their title probability by 5.31 percentage points, from 65.37% to 70.68%, and their projected total by 1.0 point.

Lyon fall from sixth to seventh in the predicted table. Their modeled top-four probability drops from 37.21% to 33.06% and projected points from 56.3 to 55.5.

Official Ligue 1 result evidence ↗ · Independent match report ↗

Salford win 4-2 at Walsall

Salford stay second in the predicted League Two table but add 1.5 projected points, from 81.2 to 82.7. Their automatic-promotion probability rises from 65.01% to 71.45%, while their title probability reaches 27.93%.

Walsall fall from 11th to 13th predicted and lose 1.2 projected points.

Official EFL results ↗ · Independent match centre ↗

Sevilla beat Osasuna 2-0

Sevilla remain eighth predicted but rise from 50.5 to 51.8 projected points; their modeled top-six probability moves from 15.37% to 19.43%.

Osasuna remain 16th predicted. Their relegation probability rises from 23.20% to 27.57%.

Official La Liga results ↗ · Independent match centre ↗

Verification method

• Every final score was accepted only after two independent domains corroborated the result, with an official competition source included.
• Before and after runs use identical deterministic seeds, 100,000 paths, ratings, schedules and model settings; only the completed score changes.
• Current standings from completed results remain separate from predicted final standings.

HORIZON GLOBAL 3.0 · verified 26 October 2026. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.