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VERIFIED EFL FINALS · 20 OCTOBER 2026

Salford win again — title chance rises to 22.75%

Salford City's modeled League Two title probability rises by 8.93 percentage points after their 2-1 win at Bristol Rovers, while Barnet lose 3-1 at home to Swindon. Twenty-four newly completed EFL results update three matched 100,000-path season forecasts.

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BRISTOL ROVERS 1-2 SALFORDVerified final
SALFORD TITLE13.82% → 22.75%
AUTOMATIC PROMOTION53.87% → 65.71%
MATCHED PATHS100,000

Salford take control of the League Two race

The away win adds 1.7 projected points, taking Salford from 79.5 to 81.2, and raises their automatic-promotion probability by 11.85 percentage points. Barnet's 3-1 home defeat cuts their modeled title chance from 58.07% to 49.93% and projected points from 87.6 to 85.6.

The same result slate also produces material moves in League One: Plymouth's title probability falls from 26.18% to 18.02% after a 3-0 loss at Stevenage, while Stockport's rises from 33.30% to 39.09% after winning 2-0 at Doncaster.

CHAMPIONSHIP

One verified final

FULL TIME · 20 OCTOBER 2026Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-0 Portsmouth

Wolves add 1.3 projected points and move from ninth to eighth in the predicted final table. Their play-off-place probability rises from 43.31% to 48.25%.

LEAGUE ONE

Eleven verified finals

FULL TIME · 20 OCTOBER 2026AFC Wimbledon 0-3 Mansfield Town
FULL TIME · 20 OCTOBER 2026Blackpool 2-0 MK Dons
FULL TIME · 20 OCTOBER 2026Bromley 0-4 Leicester City
FULL TIME · 20 OCTOBER 2026Burton Albion 0-0 Bradford City
FULL TIME · 20 OCTOBER 2026Cambridge United 2-2 Wycombe Wanderers
FULL TIME · 20 OCTOBER 2026Doncaster Rovers 0-2 Stockport County
FULL TIME · 20 OCTOBER 2026Huddersfield Town 4-1 Peterborough United
FULL TIME · 20 OCTOBER 2026Luton Town 2-1 Barnsley
FULL TIME · 20 OCTOBER 2026Notts County 2-0 Sheffield Wednesday
FULL TIME · 20 OCTOBER 2026Oxford United 2-1 Wigan Athletic
FULL TIME · 20 OCTOBER 2026Stevenage 3-0 Plymouth Argyle

Official EFL League One results ↗

LEAGUE TWO

Twelve verified finals

FULL TIME · 20 OCTOBER 2026Gillingham 1-1 Port Vale
FULL TIME · 20 OCTOBER 2026Barnet 1-3 Swindon Town
FULL TIME · 20 OCTOBER 2026Bristol Rovers 1-2 Salford City
FULL TIME · 20 OCTOBER 2026Cheltenham Town 4-2 Fleetwood Town
FULL TIME · 20 OCTOBER 2026Chesterfield 1-1 Colchester United
FULL TIME · 20 OCTOBER 2026Crawley Town 2-3 Shrewsbury Town
FULL TIME · 20 OCTOBER 2026Exeter City 2-0 Crewe Alexandra
FULL TIME · 20 OCTOBER 2026Northampton Town 0-1 Tranmere Rovers
FULL TIME · 20 OCTOBER 2026Rochdale 2-2 Grimsby Town
FULL TIME · 20 OCTOBER 2026Rotherham United 2-2 Newport County
FULL TIME · 20 OCTOBER 2026Walsall 3-0 Oldham Athletic
FULL TIME · 20 OCTOBER 2026York City 1-1 Accrington Stanley

Official EFL League Two results ↗

Verification and assumptions

  • All 24 scores are completed 2026/27 EFL results verified on the official competition pages.
  • Each before-and-after comparison uses 100,000 matched season paths and the same competition seed.
  • Completed points and goal difference are fixed; all remaining fixtures stay uncertain.
  • Current standings and predicted final standings remain separate outputs on every affected competition page.

HORIZON GLOBAL 3.0 · verified 20 October 2026. Model estimates, not guaranteed outcomes. Are Salford now the team to catch?

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