Levante beat Athletic Club 3-1 — relegation risk falls to 62.39%
The official final updates the matched 100,000-path La Liga forecast. Reading's verified 1-0 win over Leyton Orient is included in the same all-competition reconciliation.
Levante gain two projected points
Levante's modeled relegation probability falls by 9.45 percentage points, from 71.84% to 62.39%. Their projected points rise from 33.8 to 35.8.
Athletic Club remain seventh predicted, but their projected points fall from 54.5 to 52.7 and their top-four chance falls from 7.58% to 4.72%.
Reading also win 1-0
Reading's verified League One win over Leyton Orient lifts their projected points from 62.2 to 63.6 and moves them from 14th to 13th predicted.
Official La Liga result ↗ · Independent Levante–Athletic final ↗ · Official EFL Reading report ↗
Verification and assumptions
- Reading 1-0 Leyton Orient and Levante 3-1 Athletic Club are official full-time results.
- Before and after use the same competition seed, 100,000 paths, ratings, schedule and all earlier completed results.
- Current standings from completed results remain separate from predicted final standings.
HORIZON GLOBAL 3.0 · verified 22 October 2026. Model estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
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