+18.28 percentage points
The home win pushes Brighton above an even chance of a top-six finish.
Brighton stun Arsenal and transform the title race
The verified 3-0 final score is locked into the current table, while matched 100,000-path forecasts isolate its effect on both clubs' predicted final standings.
FINAL SCOREBrighton 3-0 Arsenal
BRIGHTON FINISH6th → 4th
BRIGHTON TOP SIX34.64% → 52.91%
ARSENAL TITLE56.38% → 34.37%
17.30% → 31.64%
Their top-four chance rises by 14.35 percentage points.
56.38% → 34.37%
Arsenal lose 5.3 projected points and their title probability falls by 22.00 percentage points.
96.68% → 88.12%
The defeat lowers Arsenal's top-four probability by 8.56 percentage points.
CURRENT TABLE
Brighton climb to third on completed results
MATCHED-PATH METHOD
Verified final, isolated result effect
EVIDENCE
Official club record and independent match reporting
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